Will cocoa futures close above $6,000/tonne at quarter end?

Will the ICE benchmark cocoa futures price close above $6,000 per tonne on the last trading day of the current quarter?

History builds as forecasts are placed.

Overview

West Africa — Côte d'Ivoire, Ghana and Nigeria — produces the majority of the world's cocoa, so the price is a bellwether for the region's export earnings. This market forecasts whether cocoa closes above $6,000/tonne at quarter end.

Resolution rules

Resolves YES if the ICE front-month cocoa futures settlement (USD/tonne) on the last trading day of the current quarter is strictly above 6,000. The official ICE settlement is authoritative. Otherwise NO.

Official source: ICE Futures cocoa settlement (ice.com)

Lifecycle

1. DRAFT — Create

   8/26/2026, 2:39:02 AM
2. REVIEW — Review

   8/26/2026, 2:39:02 AM
3. APPROVED — Approve

   8/26/2026, 2:39:02 AM
4. OPEN — Open

   8/26/2026, 2:39:02 AM