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Will all off-cycle governorship elections scheduled by INEC this year hold on their fixed dates?
History builds as forecasts are placed.
INEC fixes dates for off-cycle governorship elections. This market forecasts whether they hold as scheduled (a logistics/administration question, not a candidate outcome).
Resolves YES if every off-cycle governorship election scheduled by INEC for this year is conducted on its fixed date (a same-day extension for isolated units still counts as held). Resolves NO if any is postponed to a different date. INEC announcements are authoritative.
Official source: Independent National Electoral Commission (inecnigeria.org)