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Will the NBS report real GDP growth above 3.5% year-on-year for the next quarter it publishes?
History builds as forecasts are placed.
Quarterly real GDP growth is the headline gauge of Nigeria's economic momentum. This market forecasts whether the next NBS release exceeds 3.5% year-on-year.
Resolves YES if the next quarterly GDP report published by the NBS states real GDP growth strictly above 3.5% year-on-year. The first published figure is authoritative; later revisions do not change settlement. Otherwise NO.
Official source: National Bureau of Statistics — GDP report (nigerianstat.gov.ng)